- Tickets. Get the best seats for all sports events at Tickets Marca
- NFL. Super Bowl MVP betting trend shows 15 of the last 19 winners came from the same odds patterns
The stage for Super Bowl LX is set, and only the two most coveted trophies remain unclaimed: the Lombardi and the Super Bowl MVP. Everything else in the 2025 NFL season has officially been put in the books. We saw Matthew Stafford secure his first MVP in the closest vote since 2003, becoming just the fourth quarterback in history to post a season with 45+ touchdowns and fewer than 10 interceptions.
We also saw Mike Vrabel walk away with his second Coach of the Year honors after a stunning transformation in New England. In just one year, Vrabel led the Patriots and MVP runner-up Drake Maye to 17 wins, eclipsing the total number of wins the franchise recorded in the previous three seasons combined (16). It's been a season of historical turnarounds, but the Seahawks are looking to write the final, most improbable chapter.
Related:
- Super Bowl 2026: Date, time, location, and everything to know
- Where to watch the Super Bowl 2026? TV channel and streaming
- Super Bowl Halftime Show 2026: Everything about Bad Bunny's performance
- How much do tickets for the Super Bowl cost in 2026?
- Super Bowl Winners List: All teams that have won the Vince Lombardi
The Seahawks' Chance to Join the Three MVP Killers
By taking down MVP Matthew Stafford in the NFC Championship and now preparing to face Drake Maye, who finished second in the voting, the Seattle Seahawks find themselves on the brink of a historic "giant-killing" postseason.
If they pull it off, they will become only the fourth team in NFL history to defeat both the top-two MVP vote getters in a single playoff run. They would join an elite club consisting of the 2003 Patriots, the 2007 Giants, and the 2015 Broncos, all of whom went on to win the Super Bowl.
Interestingly, the Patriots are almost always the common denominator in these scenarios. In 2003, when the MVP was split between Steve McNair and Peyton Manning, Tom Brady's Patriots knocked off both the Titans and the Colts. In 2007, Eli Manning's Giants beat second-place Brett Favre before ending Tom Brady's perfect season in the Super Bowl.
Then, in 2015, the Broncos took down second-place Brady in the AFC Championship before stifling MVP Cam Newton in Peyton Manning's final game. For Sam Darnold and the Seahawks, these historical precedents aren't just trivia; they are a very good omen heading into Sunday.
Sam Darnold is the "Chalk" Pick to Finish the Job
When it comes to the Super Bowl MVP, history tells us it is a quarterback's award to lose. Signal-callers have claimed the trophy 34 times, winning 7 of the last 10 and 12 of the last 15.
Betting trends are equally specific: 15 of the last 19 winners entered the game with odds of 6-1 (+600) or shorter, including every single winner from the last six years.
With those trends in mind, it's no shock that the two men under center are the heavy favorites. Sam Darnold (+115) and Drake Maye (+230) lead the pack, though Seahawks playmakers Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+500) and Kenneth Walker (+600) are hovering right at that historical "value" threshold.
Darnold has been the comeback story of the year, but defeating the two MVP favorites in back-to-back games while securing a ring and an MVP trophy would be the ultimate "mic drop" on a career-defining season. If I'm a betting man, my money is on Darnold to finish this storybook run.